Modeling the hepatitis C virus epidemic in france
Sylvie Deuffic, Laurent Buffat, Thierry Poynard, Alain‐Jacques Valleron – 30 December 2003 – A backcalculation approach allows a reconstruction of the history of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in France and predictions of mortality from hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) related to the virus. The model uses information from the literature about the natural history of the disease, epidemiological data about infected subjects in three French cohorts, and mortality data from national statistics.