Survival and cost‐effectiveness analysis of competing strategies in the management of small hepatocellular carcinoma
Willscott E. Naugler, Amnon Sonnenberg – 16 July 2010 – The aim of the present study is to compare the survival rates and cost‐effectiveness of different treatment strategies for small (<2 cm) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Markov chains are developed to model different management strategies for patients with compensated cirrhosis and small HCC. Probabilities of progression and survival and the likelihood of orthotopic liver transplantation are taken from the literature and incorporated into the models. As a starting population, 1000 patients are followed over a period of 10 years.