Modeling the current and future disease burden of hepatitis C among injection drug users in Scotland
Sharon J. Hutchinson, Sheila M. Bird, David J. Goldberg – 22 August 2005 – Quantitative estimates of the current and future burden of hepatitis C virus (HCV) disease are required to plan a public health response to the HCV epidemic with regard to both prevention and treatment. A forward projection model was used to estimate the numbers of both current and former injecting drug users (IDUs) who acquired HCV and progressed to moderate and severe disease in Glasgow and Scotland during 1960‐2030.