Declining liver graft quality threatens the future of liver transplantation in the United States
Eric S. Orman, Maria E. Mayorga, Stephanie B. Wheeler, Rachel M. Townsley, Hector H. Toro‐Diaz, Paul H. Hayashi, A. Sidney Barritt – 4 May 2015 – National liver transplantation (LT) volume has declined since 2006, in part because of worsening donor organ quality. Trends that degrade organ quality are expected to continue over the next 2 decades. We used the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database to inform a 20‐year discrete event simulation estimating LT volume from 2010 to 2030. Data to inform the model were obtained from deceased organ donors between 2000 and 2009.